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July 2007 Archives

July 8, 2007

8,000 Benchmark Huggers

Of the more than 8,000 mutual funds in existence today, only a handful are worthy of consideration for serious money. The majority of mutual funds are style-box-conscious, benchmark-hugging closet index funds masquerading as something unique. The end game for most funds is to gather assets. Portfolio managers are compensated for asset gathering, not investment performance. Active management for most fund groups is really just tinkering with benchmark weightings. Fund companies push this refuse on unsuspecting individual investors by bribing the armies of brokers and salesmen with performance-destroying front-end sales loads and 12b-1 marketing scabs. Funds that offer a truly compelling reason to invest are rare, and many of the worthy are now closed to new investors. Those that remain open will not stay open indefinitely.

For investors of means, the obvious choice for unique/exclusive portfolio management is a boutique-registered investment advisory firm. Look for firms that charge less than 1% and manage assets across a broad spectrum of securities, emphasizing individual stocks. Don't fall for the style-box-conscious CFP pitch, either. This crowd will set you up with the no-load versions of funds sold by the hucksters at brokerage firms and insurance companies. You do not want to pay a management fee for investment advice that calls for investment in a group of benchmark-hugging closet index funds that blanket the style box.

As I have written in the past, I expect the ETF industry to hollow out the mutual fund industry. ETFs have caught on in a big way. More ETFs were unveiled in 2006 than in all previous years.

ETFs offer many compelling advantages over the closet index funds sold to individual investors. Convenience for ETFs is a biggie. You can buy and sell ETFs from any brokerage account anytime the market is open. Mutual funds, on the other hand, are priced once per day and available only on select brokerage platforms. If the fund you want to buy is not available on your broker's platform, your only option is to send money directly to the fund company, creating an onerous paperwork nightmare for yourself. You also don't have to worry about your ETFs closing. And ETF sponsors are not concerned with fund flows.

July 18, 2007

Drink Up

When is the last time you stopped drinking water because the economy started to slow? You probably drank more beer, but beer is mostly water-based. Water stocks are about as defensive as they come. In today's frothy market, adding a few defensive names to your portfolio is not a bad idea. My charting shows that in terms of relative strength the worst is over for Southwest Water (NASDAQ: SWWC), and it should finally start to move up from here.

July 23, 2007

My All-Time Favorite Asset

What's there not to like about Plum Creek Timber Company (NYSE: PCL). ? Timber is my all-time favorite asset. You buy some land, plant some trees, and watch the value of your investment grow. If log prices go down, you wait for better days to harvest. Meanwhile, the value of your timber investment grows as your trees grow. That is a business to admire. You can sit on your hands for 20 years and still make money. Plum Creek shares provide exposure to timberland without the liquidity constraints of direct timberland investment. Plus you get a 4.2% tax-advantaged dividend.

July 31, 2007

The World's Most Resilient Economy

The 2006 IMD world competitiveness yearbook ranks Australia as the most resilient economy in the world and the country with the lowest risk of political instability in the world. Australia's GDP numbers support IMD's findings. In fact, Australia's GDP growth has shown a 16-year span of uninterrupted growth.

Australia's vast supply of mineral resources and close proximity to China and India bode well for long-term economic growth. Though the country is endowed with commodity wealth, Australia is far from being entirely reliant on the vagaries of commodity prices. Australia's economy is overwhelmingly service-based. Close to 80% of output comes from the services sector. A stable services-based economy and a great endowment of mineral wealth is a great one-two punch.

I also view the Australian dollar as a long-term growth currency. Australia's high short-term interest rates are attractive and if the global economy continues on a path of uninterrupted growth, you can expect the Australian dollar to outperform the yen and franc, as well as the U.S. dollar.

All of the latest currency coverage is right at your fingertips in my monthly strategy reports. And for those wanting to invest in Australia, I recommend the iShares MSCI Australia Index Fund (EWA).

About July 2007

This page contains all entries posted to Dick Young's Intelligence Report in July 2007. They are listed from oldest to newest.

June 2007 is the previous archive.

August 2007 is the next archive.

Many more can be found on the main index page or by looking through the archives.

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